The Michigan vs. Wisconsin live blog: Badgers browbeat to strech 11-0

Some stats:

  • Total yards: UW 325, UM 234.
  • Second half yards: UW 226, UM 64.
  • Alex Hornibrook (UW): 9-for-19 for 143 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT. Not too good, nonetheless he was 3-for-5 for 48 yards on a go-ahead scoring drive. Those dual passes to Taylor were enormous.
  • John O’Korn (UM): 2-for-8 for 19 yards. Michigan was already starting to dwindle when Peters went down, nonetheless a Wolverines didn’t do a singular thing after that.
  • Johnathan Taylor (UW): 19 carries for 132 yards. Not an impossibly efficient day, nonetheless he had some big, field-flipping plays.
  • Chris Evans and Karan Higdon (UM): 18 carries, 45 yards.

A unequivocally Wisconsin win for a unequivocally Wisconsin Wisconsin. Survive and advance.

0:00. That’ll do it. Michigan goes four-and-out, Wisconsin kneels out a clock, and a Badgers are now dual games divided from a expected symbol in a College Football Playoff. Well done.

2:25. Wisconsin 24, Michigan 10. Wisconsin fans can be listened singing “Build Me Up Buttercup” in a credentials as Wisconsin all nonetheless puts a diversion away. That’s a ideal college football impulse right there. Nine uninterrupted runs benefit 40 yards, pierce a bondage 3 times, and force Michigan to bake a final timeouts.

Rafael Gaglianone kicks a 30-yard margin goal, and it’s a 14-point diversion with underneath dual and a half mins left.

7:42. Dropped pass, run stuff, brief scramble. A baggy three-and-out for Michigan during customarily a wrong time, and afterwards Nelson earnings a 47-yard punt for 19 yards in a other direction. Wisconsin will start nearby midfield and is removing extremely tighten to 11-0.

9:54. No points for Wisconsin, nonetheless a Badgers do something roughly as good: they flip a margin and eat some clock. Michigan’s Josh Metellus is flagged for a unequivocally unsure pass division chastisement on third-and-4, afterwards Taylor rips off a pleasing 52-yard cutback run to a Michigan 34.

Khaleke Hudson sacks Hornibrook for a outrageous detriment after that, and a Badgers shortly punt, nonetheless carrying a Wolverines start inside their 25 with underneath 10 mins left is a glorious outcome there.

13:17. Havoc looks so good on this Wisconsin defense. O’Korn’s initial dual passes of a fourth entertain are both knocked out of receivers’ hands by Badger defenders, and on a third-and-10 from a UW 49, he scarcely gets sacked and throws incomplete. Another punt pins a Badgers during their 5, nonetheless a time could get divided from Michigan flattering fast here.

0:00. A few weeks ago, John O’Korn was benched in preference of Peters. Now it’s adult to him to lift off a outrageous comeback. The third entertain ends with an 11-yard pass from O’Korn to Peoples-Jones (quietly carrying a poetic game). The Wolverines will start a fourth during their 36.

(That was from a few years ago, not today. Don’t care.)

0:24. Wisconsin 21, Michigan 10. It’s extraordinary what some third-down heroics can do. After customarily hardly being deprived of a outrageous first-half catch, Danny Davis creates a beautiful one-handed locate of a third-and-8 pass for Wisconsin, afterwards Pryor scores on a picture-perfect finish around. And after looking totally mislaid offensively, Wisconsin has driven 77 and 61 yards for touchdowns in a final dual drives.

2:06. Oof. After a brief run and a brief pass, Peters gets drilled by Van Ginkel while throwing deficient on third down. His conduct and left shoulder take all a weight of both players, and he lies quiescent on a belligerent for a while before removing driven off a margin on a cart. I’m guessing we won’t see him again today. Michigan punts.

3:31. Wisconsin 14, Michigan 10. And now it’s Hornibrook’s spin to respond with some outrageous throws. Wisconsin’s first-down failures continue — a Badgers’ final 7 first-down attempts: a four-yard run, a three-yard run, a five-yard sack, an interception, a four-yard stuff, an incompletion, and a one-yard things — nonetheless UM’s Tyree Kinnel commits a pass division chastisement on second-and-14, Hornibrook finds A.J. Taylor for a 51-yard explosve on third-and-13, and afterwards Hornibrook and Taylor bond for a 19-yard measure on third-and-11.

Did not see that coming. Wisconsin leads again.

6:36. Michigan 10, Wisconsin 7. The disproportion in this diversion right now is that Michigan has been removing some initial downs before punting, and Wisconsin unequivocally hasn’t. It’s what slanted a margin in UM’s preference in this quarter, and it customarily gave a Wolverines a margin thought as well. An end-around to Peoples-Jones for 12 yards is all they get after a pick, nonetheless it’s all they need. Quinn Nordin hits a 39-yarder to give Michigan a lead.

8:33. INTERCEPTION. And there’s a crippling Hornibrook mistake Michigan was anticipating for. He drops to pass again on initial down (!) and, clearly astounded by a miss of pressure, gets assertive and throws into double coverage. Devin Bush reads him ideally and picks a round off while descending down during a UW 29. Uh oh.

8:42. Rinse, repeat. UM stalls out in UW domain (a first-down fake start fundamentally dooms a expostulate before it starts), afterwards pins a Badgers during their 10 with a punt. On we go.

9:37. Yikes. No thought what Wisconsin can do offensively during a moment. UW comes out flitting on initial down — out of impression — nonetheless Hornibrook can hardly finish his dump before he gets sacked by what seems like 9 Wolverines. Then on second down, a Badgers can’t even set adult a shade before Hornibrook has to chuck a round away. After a brief pass on third down, Wisconsin punts again, and Peoples-Jones earnings it to a UW 41. The Badgers are behind underneath 100 yards.

10:56. Michigan’s finished a poetic office of flipping a margin today. The Wolverines’ initial play of a half is a 22-yard pass to Hill, a fullback, who leaked secret out of a backfield. They go three-and-out from there, nonetheless Wisconsin will start a second expostulate during a 11.

12:51. Wisconsin’s initial try during jolt things adult offensively after a vacant initial half: a jet brush to Kendric Pryor on a second play of a half. It loses a yard. And afterwards Hornibrook is sacked by Mike McCray on third down. Another three-and-out for a Badgers, in other words. But they did get their sum yardage into triple digits. It’s accurately 100 now.

Some stats:

  • Total yards: UM 170, Wisconsin 99. The Badgers gained 48 yards on one expostulate (which resulted in a punt) and customarily 51 a rest of a way. They have customarily one initial down outward of that drive.
  • Brandon Peters (UM): 7-for-12 for 133 yards. He hasn’t thrown a pick, nonetheless his red section fail took during slightest 3 points off of th board.
  • Alex Hornibrook (UW): 4-for-7 for 40 yards. No vital mistakes, and he roughly had a huge third-down completion, nonetheless it was overruled on replay.
  • Jonathan Taylor (UW): 9 carries, 45 yards, nonetheless 32 came on dual carries on a one decent punting drive.
  • Michigan backs (Higdon, Evans, fullback Khalid Hill): 15 carries, 37 yards. It’s been all on Peters.

0:00. The half ends with a Wisconsin three-and-out, a punt, and a Michigan kneeldown. Having 0 timeouts cost Michigan a possibility during during slightest a margin thought or something during a end.

2:24. Michigan 7, Wisconsin 7. What a hell of a response by Peters. Following that harmful fumble, he comes out and finds Peoples-Jones on a 48-yard bomb, hits Evans underneath for 19 yards on third-and-8, afterwards hits McKeon for 14 yards to a UW 1. Ben Mason takes it in from there, and we’re tied late in a initial half. Peters looks like a sophomore during times, nonetheless he could be good soon.

5:58. The branding is clever in this one.

  • #TightEndPassGame: Wisconsin gets out of a shade of a finish section with a 20-yard pass from Hornibrook to Fumagali.
  • #PowerRushing: Big rushes of 11 and 21 yards by Taylor get a Badgers into Michigan territory.
  • #DefenseDefenseDefense: Taylor is pressed for a four-yard detriment on initial down, that leads to third-and-forever and a punt.

That final partial was close, though. Danny Davis III seemed to make a outrageous first-down locate on a aforementioned third down, nonetheless replay pronounced it was customarily hardly incomplete. A integrate of unequivocally tight, high-impact replays so far.

8:42. FUMBLE. Game of inches! After a #TightEndBigPlay — Peters to Gentry for 35 yards as Peters gets rocked — Gentry lobs to Peoples-Jones on second-and-goal from a 5. Peoples-Jones’ right feet comes down out of bounds, and it is ruled incomplete.

Replay proves inconclusive; we could make a box that Peoples-Jones’ left feet came down inbounds a separate second before a right feet hit, nonetheless we would damn nearby need 3-D imagery to know for sure.

That’s a problem given on third-and-goal, Peters scrambles left and is nude as he tries to strech brazen toward a finish zone. Derrick Tindal recovers for Wisconsin during a Michigan 1.

10:43. Okay, a three many critical plays have been on punts. After a Wisconsin three-and-out, Wisconsin’s Anthony Lotti punts for customarily 28 yards to a Badger 40. The refs could have called a running-into-the-kicker chastisement if they wanted to nonetheless pronounced that Lotti flopped a small bit. Definitely a 50-50 call.

12:47. Goodness, Wisconsin’s office speed is something else. After converting a third-and-short, Peters gains customarily one yard on a scramble, afterwards Evans gains customarily dual out wide. Then Peters scrambles on third down and sees parsimonious finish Zach Gentry far-reaching open, nonetheless his chuck is short, and Natrell Jamerson is means to locate adult and mangle it up.

Brad Robbins’ punt is super brief nonetheless takes an extraordinary miscarry (25-plus yards) and is downed during a 3. The biggest plays have been punts, and there have been lots of third-down passes to (or dictated for) parsimonious ends. This diversion is accurately what it was ostensible to be so far.

0:00. The entertain comes to an finish with Michigan’s Ty Isaac branch his ankle (Higdon was already removing his leg looked during as well, that substantially means a lot of Chris Evans relocating forward) and a Wolverines confronting a third-and-inches.

1:15. Wisconsin 7, Michigan 0. After a timeout, UM runs a representation play, and Andrew Van Ginkel blows it up. Michigan got positively nothing from during slightest dual of a 3 timeouts … and afterwards Nick Nelson creates a malfunction worse by fielding a indirect unsure punt off a miscarry and weaving 50 yards for a touchdown.

That he let it miscarry seemed to chuck UM off a scent, and when a miscarry checked adult nicely, Nelson took advantage.

2:17. Following a two-yard Karan Higdon run, Wisconsin vigour creates an deficient shade pass, and afterwards Michigan uses a final timeout of a half 13 mins in! No thought why, either—the Wolverines were lined adult in a wildcat formation, that suggests they were waiving a white dwindle for a expostulate anyway.

2:58. Good and bad from Hornibrook: he misses observant a parsimonious finish entrance open on a second play of Wisconsin’s second expostulate nonetheless fires a perfect, parsimonious pass to Troy Fumagali on third-and-5. But on third-and-1 on a subsequent set of downs, Wisconsin passes again, and he can’t utterly fit a parsimonious pass in to another parsimonious end, Kyle Penniston. But a initial down allows UW to flip a margin with a 40-yard punt. Michigan will start during a 14.

6:10. Well that took a while. Michigan moves a bondage once and afterwards punts, nonetheless not until pursuit dual timeouts due to difficulty and/or an failing play clock. And after a second timeout, Peters gets rocked by Garret Dooley on third-and-7. Probably could have saved a timeout and had a same result.

Pretty considerable achievement, though: Michigan killed scarcely 4 mins while gnawing a round customarily 6 times and pursuit timeout twice.

10:07. Wisconsin gets a small too lovable — or maybe uncute — on a initial possession. Alex Hornibrook gains 4 yards on a rollout on a initial play, afterwards Jonathan Taylor’s initial lift gains five. But on third-and-1, Wisconsin tries a discerning thrust by fullback Alex Ramesh, and he is stoned. Donovan Peoples-Jones earnings a indirect punt to a Michigan 27.

12:23. Michigan’s initial expostulate just about follows a “scoring on Wisconsin” script: Wisconsin commits a holding chastisement to pierce a bondage (check!), and UM quarterback Brandon Peters completes a third-and-9 pass to parsimonious finish Sean McKeon to pierce a bondage again (check!).

However, from a UW 41, Nick Nelson breaks adult another third-down pass to McKeon, and Michigan, not one to ever unequivocally go for it on fourth down, punts into a finish section for a touchback.

15:00. The continue is amply sum — 37 degrees and moist. Let’s do this.

It feels like ages ago that this was an tangible concern, nonetheless it unequivocally was, during slightest for me: Wisconsin’s Paul Chryst entered 2017 with his best group nonetheless in Madison… and with maybe a slightest gifted defensive coordinator you’ll ever see.

Jim Leonhard is a essence of Wisconsin football. A walk-on from Tony, Wisc., he was a three-time All-American and Wisconsin gymnasium of celebrity inductee, and notwithstanding his 5’8 stature, he spent a decade in a pros, starting for about 4 seasons and picking off 14 passes.

Leonhard late after 2014, spent a year as fundamentally a staff proffer for UW in 2015, afterwards landed his initial central gig — Wisconsin DBs manager — final fall. And now he’s a coordinator for a invulnerability that has ranked in a Def. SP+ tip 10 for back-to-back years. After Aranda left for LSU and deputy Justin Wilcox left for a Cal conduct coaching job, Chryst stayed in-house.

I’m not going to doubt Leonhard’s aptitude or intensity as a teacher, nonetheless … this is all rather quick, isn’t it?

This feels like a ultimate “Screw it, we’re Wisconsin” move. And given of a knowledge elsewhere on a coaching staff and a knowledge littering a two-deep, it competence work. But cruise this a red flag.

Calling something a red dwindle is a poetic hedge. You’re not committing to observant something is a problem; you’re simply indicating it out customarily in case.

The Leonhard hire: Not a problem.

The No. 5 Badgers have authorised some-more than 17 points customarily once all deteriorate and conduct into Saturday’s diversion opposite No. 24 Michigan with a top-ranked invulnerability in a country, according to Def. SP+.

The Badgers are efficient. They forestall large plays. If we get a round in a red zone, they’re substantially holding we to a margin goal. They are good opposite a run and extensive opposite a pass. There is roughly no distinct weakness, on paper.

It’s tough to demeanour during Wisconsin’s full-season numbers and find a transparent trail to scoring. In instances like these, it’s infrequently useful to concentration on a singular failures.

In 7 Big Ten games, a Badgers have authorised teams to measure 20 times — 11 touchdowns and 9 margin goals. Let’s see if we can find any similarities in how teams went about putting points on a board.

NCAA Football: Iowa during Wisconsin

Alex Hornibrook
Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Of these 20 scores, 8 came after Wisconsin turnovers. Nebraska returned an interception for a touchdown, and Iowa returned two. Purdue, Maryland, and Northwestern any warranted margin goals after forcing turnovers in UW domain and going three-and-out.

UW quarterback Alex Hornibrook is carrying a decent year. He’s completing 64 percent of his passes and averaging 8.1 yards per attempt, including sacks. The Badgers arrange 28th in Passing SP+ and 19th in flitting success rate, and for an offense so focused on and able of using a football, that’s some-more than enough.

He can be baited into mistakes, however, as Bud Elliott and we discussed around a 55-minute symbol of this week’s Podcast Ain’t Played Nobody.

Hornibrook has thrown 12 interceptions in 206 passes, a 5.8 percent interception rate that is some-more than twice what we would prefer. He also takes sacks on 6.5 percent of his attempts. He is assured and peaceful to step adult and make tough passes. He customarily doesn’t always make those passes well.

The easiest trail for a Michigan measure is a brief field; a Wolverines’ invulnerability is immature nonetheless excellent, ranking sixth in Def. SP+ notwithstanding vital 2016-to-2017 turnover. They are fourth in Passing SP+ and initial in flitting success rate, and it would customarily take a integrate of bad Hornibrook passes to change this game.

NCAA Football: Michigan during Maryland

Brandon Peters and Jim Harbaugh
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

Of a 14 scoring drives in this representation that indeed compulsory an offense to pierce a ball, Wisconsin’s invulnerability committed 6 third-down penalties to extend those drives. Most were pass division penalties. There were a integrate on second downs, too.

Wisconsin’s pass invulnerability is insanely physical. The Badgers arrange fifth in Adjusted Sack Rate and third in flitting success rate. A whopping 46 percent of opponents’ incompletions are a outcome of a pass defensed (intercepted or damaged up), a top rate in a country. UW ranks initial in both linebacker massacre rate (forced fumbles, tackles for loss, and passes defensed divided by sum snaps) and defensive behind massacre rate, as well.

NCAA Football: Maryland during Wisconsin

Nick Nelson
Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The change here is astounding. Eleven Badgers have during slightest 2.5 tackles for loss, 10 have during slightest 1.5 sacks, 9 have taken partial in during slightest 3 run stuffs (stops during or behind a line), and 7 have defensed during slightest 3 passes — dilemma Nick Nelson is third in a nation with 18.

This Badger D does not wait around for we to make a mistake; it army them. But this physicality is also a brave to a officials, a “You’re not going to call pass division on any singular pass, are you?” wager. That gamble customarily pays off, nonetheless infrequently it doesn’t.

Wisconsin averages customarily 5.9 penalties per game, 56th in a nation and right during a inhabitant average. But there’s a flattering clever association between when these penalties start and when opponents measure points. There’s also a association between points and large third-down passes.

Michigan’s scoring has risen dramatically given Brandon Peters took over during quarterback 3 games ago. After averaging 17 points per diversion over a 3 preceding games, they’ve averaged 34 with Peters. But he’s not being asked to do a whole lot.

In wins over Rutgers, Minnesota, and Maryland, Peters’ normal flitting line was 9-of-15 for 108 yards. The run diversion has been key, and Peters’ office has been to equivocate mistakes.

He’s done some flattering large passes, though. On third down with 4 or some-more yards to go, he’s 9-of-14 for 98 yards and no picks. Meanwhile, in this 14-drive scoring representation for Wisconsin opponents, passers are 9-of-15 for 124 yards on such downs. Peters is relocating a chains, and he’ll be asked to do a same in Madison, generally given there’s one some-more commonality among these scoring drives: The run isn’t unequivocally an option.

During scoring drives, opponents have rushed 53 times in 140 plays, not including 5 sacks. Only 7 of these rushes gained some-more than 9 yards — 6 of those came when a competition was down double digits and Wisconsin was in defend-the-pass mode — and 32 gained 4 or fewer.

Success opposite Wisconsin tends to come from a quarterback’s arm, not a using back’s legs.

Four times in these 14 drives, it took some-more than third-down conversions. Maryland converted a fourth-and-10, Northwestern converted a fourth-and-7 and a fourth-and-1, and Purdue converted a fourth-and-6.

In 3 of these four, a competition was down by double digits and perplexing desperately to stay in a game. But notwithstanding Michigan’s play-it-safe ideal, it wouldn’t be a bad thought for Jim Harbaugh to take some risks on fourth-and-short.

Opponents are removing no some-more than 3 good scoring chances per diversion opposite UW. You have to take advantage of each.

Risk of this inlet would be out of Harbaugh’s character. The Wolverines have customarily attempted 11 fourth-down conversions in 10 games, 101st in a country. With a good invulnerability during his disposal, Harbaugh is happy to punt or flog a margin thought and live to quarrel another series. If his invulnerability is stuffing Wisconsin and/or forcing a few turnovers, afterwards that proceed competence be fine. If not, though? Might have to force a issue, either it’s in your DNA or not.

Wisconsin is tremendous, nonetheless this competence a misfortune probable time to play a Wolverines (SP+ disagrees.)

It always feels like a cop-out to contend that quarterback play is going to establish this game, nonetheless quarterback play is substantially going to establish this game.

Michigan’s best trail to an easy measure or dual comes from forcing Hornibrook mistakes. Sustained scoring drives will roughly positively need large passes from Peters.

Michigan’s new descent miscarry has to give Wolverine fans wish here. It appears it’s a lot some-more formidable to play UM now than it was a month ago.

But this Wisconsin invulnerability is mostly immovable, and a Wolverines competence need picks and chastisement flags to measure a upset.

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