College Football Playoff Notebook: Auburn Holds a Key to Creating a Giant Mess

Brynn Anderson/Associated Press

Never before has a two-loss group reached a College Football Playoff. Auburn is looking to make some history.

The simplest unfolding for a preference cabinet includes Alabama winning outthereby expelling Auburn and Georgiawhile Oklahoma and Wisconsin do a same. The ACC championClemson or Miamiwould take a final spot.

But it won’t be that painless, right?

Following a 40-17 mauling of then-No. 1 Georgiaand aided by Stanford’s dissapoint of Washington and Miami’s beatdown of Notre Dame—Auburn rose to No. 6 in a latest playoff rankings.

Yes, that was merely Step 1 of a severe three-point plan. The yearly showdown with a Crimson Tide looms, and a feat will be compulsory for a Tigers to even strech Step 3—the SEC pretension game. Nevertheless, a Week 11 delight over a Bulldogs combined nonetheless another turn to a playoff outlook.

Auburn can emanate a primary debate of 2017 if, after navigating Louisiana-Monroe this weekend, a Tigers win a Iron Bowl. That would dump a Tide to 11-1 and keep them out of a SEC Championship Game.

However, that doesn’t meant a cabinet wouldn’t cruise Alabama one of a nation’s 4 best teams, quite if Auburn defeats Georgia once again for a SEC crown.

As a result, a 13-member row could have to decidefor a consequence of examplebetween a one-loss Alabama and one-loss Miami if a ‘Canes remove to Clemson in a ACC pretension diversion and possibly Oklahoma or Wisconsin trip.

That’s not as elementary as it seems. Not usually do a Hurricanes possess a improved strength of report than a Tide, per Sports-Reference, though they also distant a Fighting Irish patrol a cabinet twice ranked No. 3 and that was a primary reason a Bulldogs primarily reason a No. 1 spot.

Conversely, Alabama’s best win would be Mississippi State or LSU, tentative a final comment of a win over a Florida State group that featured quarterback Deondre Francois.

After all, we can’t design all to go perfectly, right? We’ve discussed that in prior weeks, and it stays true. That’s also a good sign Auburn’s impasse in this review is usually applicable if it keeps winning.

The Crimson Tide could describe it invalid if they applaud an Iron Bowl feat for a fourth true year. Then, we’d have to work out SEC Championship Game scenarios, such as possibly Alabama losing to Georgia would mistreat one-loss Oklahoma. That would engage a formidable dance of determining whose victories were some-more impressive—in this case, OU’s highway win over Ohio State or Bama’s highway win over Auburn.

There will be amour right adult until a preference cabinet unveils a final rankings no matter what happens. Uncertainty will dawdle during a limit level, however, if Auburn earns a mark in a SEC pretension diversion and leaves Alabama on a doorstep.


No Seat during a Table for UCF

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No matter what UCF accomplishes, it won’t prove a committee.

That’s a nauseous law of a situation, notwithstanding a program’s 9-0 record. UCF’s 3 CFP rankings this year have been 18th, 18th and 15th. Last year, Western Michigan climbed no aloft than 15th while finishing a pre-bowl line-up 13-0.

It’s a shame, given a Knights are a severely fun team. McKenzie Milton should be receiving some-more courtesy as a vote-getter for a Heisman Trophy. The sophomore quarterback has helped Scott Frost’s group register a tip scoring normal (48.6) and fifth-most yards per diversion (538) in a FBS.

Plus, a invulnerability is safely above average. The one-handed Shaquem Griffin is a personality of a unit, that has important ranks in several vital categoriessuch as interceptions (T-18th), scoring (29th), execution commission (29th), yards per pass try (38th) and yards per lift (51st).

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But a 9-0 record isn’t enough. Seven victories by 25 or some-more points aren’t enough. A 40-13 beatdown of a ranked competition (No. 21 Memphis) isn’t enough. No matter what happens conflicting South Florida in 10 days, it won’t be enough.

Instead of being in a review for a playoff, a Knights are merely a favorite to acquire a Group of Five’s berth in a New Year’s Six game. Presumably, that would be a Peach Bowl conflicting an ACC or SEC opponent.

While it’d be a extensive event to showcase a program, it’s positively reduction than UCF would prefer.


Miami Shifting from National Underdog to Favorite

The Hurricanes embraced an “us conflicting a universe mentality” while they consistently side-stepped unranked foes. Over a final dual weeks, Miami dominated a toughest opponents and topsy-turvy a account about it.

Following a 41-8 nonexistence of Notre Dame, there is no necessity of respect. The Canes climbed to No. 2 in a AP check and No. 3 in a playoff rankings.

What happens next? The module hasn’t been a inhabitant championship contender in some-more than a decade, so these players haven’t enjoyed this form of regard while during The U.

“It’s uncharted domain for many of a guys,” descent coordinator Thomas Brown said, according to Matt Porter of a Palm Beach Post.

Miami has clinched a Coastal multiplication and will take on Clemson in an ACC Championship Game that total to reason CFP implications. But now a Hurricanes are reputable nationally. Virginia and Pitt would adore to take some of a spotlight when it’s resplendent brightest on Mark Richt‘s club.

Sure, an dissapoint seems unlikely. Nevertheless, many of us suggested a same thing before Iowa State toppled Oklahoma. Or before Syracuse clipped Clemson or Iowa hammered Ohio State. The smallest widespread of those 3 matchups was 20.5 points, per OddsShark.

Miami is a 19-point favorite conflicting Virginia. The line shouldn’t be terribly conflicting when it visits Pitt. Wilder things have happened.

Getting to a tip of a rankings is difficult, though staying there is even tougher. And it’s a plea these Hurricanes have never encountered.


The Pac-12 Is Almost Out; Ohio State Is Alive

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Washington’s slip-up during Stanford fundamentally private a Pac-12 from consideration. The conference’s usually track to a periphery of a contention is if Wisconsin loses to Michigan and Minnesota and afterwards defeats Ohio State in a Big Ten Championship Game while No. 11 USC finishes 11-2.

And that’s simply to have a voice heard.

No. 9 Ohio State, on a other hand, has a candid trail to unctuous in as a No. 4 seed: Alabama, Miami and Oklahoma win out, and Wisconsin drops a diversion conflicting possibly Michigan or Minnesota before descending in a Big Ten pretension tilt.

Though a detriment by a Badgers to a Wolverines or Golden Gophers might not be required, a Buckeyes would be in a ethereal position but it if their championship diversion feat isn’t a blowout. Otherwise, Wisconsin would have one fewer loss, 3 relating Big Ten wins and an fatiguing delight over Iowa, that crushed Ohio State.

Urban Meyer‘s organisation benefited from a committee’s penalizing 2016 Penn State for a 39-point detriment to Michigan notwithstanding a Nittany Lions’ head-to-head win over Ohio State and discussion championship. Consequently, a Buckeyes shouldn’t be repelled if a 31-point detriment proves their undoing.

As with any hypothetical, there’s a caveat: None of this will matter unless Ohio State finishes a report 3-0. Plus, candid doesn’t meant probable. The chances of those formula aligning ideally for a Buckeyes are slim.

Nevertheless, Ohio State should be anxious it’s still in a picture, no matter how extraordinary an climb might seem.


Stats from or B/R research. Quotes performed firsthand unless differently noted. Follow Bleacher Report college football author David Kenyon on Twitter: @Kenyon19_BR.

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